受到新冠肺炎疫情和石油价格的双重冲击，西亚非洲地区经济在2020年上半年出现严重困难。2020年西亚北非地区的经济萎缩程度将高于全球平均水平。疫情对需求端造成的巨大冲击将进一步恶化国际石油价格，在与全球性经济下行同期叠加的情况下，西亚北非地区的汇率与政府债务问题将更加严重，外部环境进一步恶化。撒哈拉以南非洲地区以旅游业和资源密集型产业为支柱产业的国家受到疫情带来的需求冲击最大。该地区医疗水平的薄弱使得控制疫情更为困难。在疫情得到有效控制的前提下，西亚非洲可能与世界一同出现经济反弹，预计2020年西亚北非地区经济将萎缩5.0%，撒哈拉以南非洲地区经济将萎缩3.2%，到2021年，西亚北非地区经济增长3.2%，撒哈拉以南非洲地区经济增长将达到3.4%。西亚非洲将面临疫情蔓延的严峻挑战。
Affected by the dual impact of the epidemic and oil prices，economies of West Asia and Africa will experience serious difficulties in the first half of 2020. In 2020，the economic contraction in West Asia and North Africa will be greater than the global average. The huge impact of the epidemic on the demand side will further aggravate international oil prices. With the global economic downturn over the same period，the exchange rate and government debt issues in West Asia and North Africa will become more serious and the external environment will further deteriorate. Countries in sub-Saharan Africa with tourism and resource-intensive industries as their pillar industries have suffered the most in demand side. The weak medical level in the region makes it more difficult to control the epidemic. Under the premise of timely control of the epidemic，West Asia and Africa may experience an economic rebound together with the world. It is estimated that by 2021，West Asia and North Africa will grow by 4.2%，and Sub-Saharan Africa will reach 3.4%. However，West Asia and Africa will face severe challenges in keeping the epidemic under control.
