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苏丹过渡政府面临的挑战及应对措施

文章摘要

苏丹过渡政府成立于2019年9月5日,是军方与反对派联盟相互妥协的产物,其职能是在过渡时期与主权委员会及过渡议会一起管理国家,主要任务是实现国内和平并谋求经济发展。从半年多的施政情况来看,过渡政府的努力取得了一定成效。内政方面,过渡政府积极营造稳定的内部环境,不遗余力地清除前政权的残余势力,同时积极推进与达尔富尔和“两地区”武装组织的和谈进程;外交方面,过渡政府积极寻求外部经济援助,努力推动美国尽快将苏丹从“支持恐怖主义国家名单”上除名。经过半年多的努力,过渡政府已基本巩固了其参与国家管理的地位,并实现了国内局势的总体稳定。但是,过渡政府未能使苏丹经济脱困,通货膨胀不降反升,民生问题仍旧严峻。如果其经济改革和发展努力持续不见成效,过渡政府恐难帮助苏丹实现平稳过渡。

Abstract

The Transitional Government of the Sudan,established on 5 September 2019,is a result of a compromise between the military and the opposition coalition,whose function is to govern the country during the transitional period,together with the Sovereignty Council and the Transitional Parliament,with the primary task of achieving domestic peace and economic development. In terms of its governance over half a year,the Transitional Government have yielded some results. In the aspect of internal affairs,the Transitional Government has been actively creating a stable internal environment,removing the remnants of the former regime,and promoting the peace talks with armed groups in Darfur and the “two areas”. On the diplomatic front,the Transitional Government has been actively seeking external economic assistance and working to push the United States to remove the Sudan from the list of countries supporting terrorism. After more than half a year’s efforts,the Transitional Government has basically consolidated its position of participation in state management and achieved overall stability in the domestic situation. However,the Transitional Government has failed to lift the Sudan’s economy out of the woods,while inflation continues to rise and livelihood problems remains serious. If its economic reform and development efforts continue to be ineffective,the Transitional Government may find it difficult to help the Sudan make a smooth transition.

作者简介
姜恒昆:姜恒昆,浙江师范大学非洲研究院副研究员,主要从事苏丹和南苏丹研究。