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热词推荐: 能源基础设施

世界天然气市场:供需分析与未来展望

文章摘要

2019年,受宏观经济增速放缓、国际油价下滑、替代能源发展、气候变化等多种因素影响,全球天然气消费整体偏弱。全球天然气供应稳中有增,市场保持宽松。全球液化产能处于投产高峰期,新增产能和FID创历史新高。三大主要市场天然气价格走低,欧亚价格深度下跌。预计2020年,市场环境将更加复杂,需求侧影响因素将增加。全球天然气需求增速将进一步回落,全球天然气供应过剩情况进一步加剧,供应侧竞争激烈,买方市场特征更加明显,市场价格难以回暖。

Abstract

In 2019,global natural gas consumption as a whole was weak due to macroeconomic slowdown,decline in oil prices,development of alternative energy sources,climate change and other factors. The global supply of natural gas has increased steadily and the market has remained loose. Global liquefaction capacity is at its peak,with new capacity and FID at a record high. Gas prices fell in three major markets,with deep declines in Europe and Asia markets. It is expected that in 2020,the growth rate of global natural gas demand will further slow down;the global natural gas oversupply will further aggravate;the supply-side competition will intensify;the buyer’s market characteristics will become more obvious,and the market price will be difficult to warm up.

作者简介
白桦:白桦,经济学博士,中国石油集团经济技术研究院高级经济师,主要从事能源市场研究工作。