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德国当前复杂外交形势下的对俄政策探析

文章摘要

近年来,面对复杂的外交形势,德国政府明显加大了与俄罗斯高层对话的频率,并在包括乌克兰、叙利亚、利比亚及伊朗等全球热点问题上与普京政府进行了协商及合作。在经贸问题上,双方也开始走出乌克兰危机爆发以来贸易急剧下滑的阴影,突出体现是“北溪2号”油气管道工程在受到德国国内外各种批评甚至制裁的声浪中继续进行。在德国对俄政策进一步发展的过程中,欧盟、跨大西洋关系及德国国内对俄政策的意见分歧等因素使得德国与俄罗斯进一步发展关系存在巨大的矛盾和限制。同时,俄罗斯仍然是德国重要地缘政治及制度的竞争对手。目前德俄合作的系列成果都显得极其不稳定。

Abstract

Over the past two years the German government has strengthened its efforts to mend fences with Russia. High-level talks were held with the Putin administration,and consultations and cooperation between Germany and Russia on global political hotspots such as Ukraine,Syria,Libya and Iran became more frequent. Economic relations overcame the sharp decline of the first few years after the Ukraine crisis. One major success is the Nord Stream 2 project,which continues to progress despite strong criticism both from within and outside Germany. Germany’s Russia policy is plagued by conflicting views in the EU,dissent from the US,and domestic discord. Meanwhile,for Germany Russia continues to be a geopolitical rival and systemic competitor,and the results achieved so far by German-Russian cooperation remain fragile.

作者简介
陈弢:陈弢,历史学博士,同济大学德国问题研究所/欧盟研究所副研究员,主要研究领域为中德关系(史)、德国当代史、德国外交。