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中国对“一带一路”共建国家投资安全形势分析(2019~2020)

文章摘要

目前,中国对“一带一路”共建国家的投资覆盖面持续扩大,金额稳中有升,行业领域广泛且结构持续优化。与此同时,其投资安全依然受多方面因素影响,主要包括经济、金融、政治、社会、对华关系安全等因素。本研究报告基于相关理论基础和实践经验,构建了包含5个一级指标、38个二级指标的投资安全评价模型,并以投资安全指数作为综合衡量中国企业对“一带一路”共建国家投资的安全参考。总体来看,“一带一路”共建国家的投资安全指数依然参差不齐,新加坡最高,也门最低,中东欧区域整体较高,西亚北非区域整体偏低。建议根据投资安全水平因地制宜,加强顶层设计,建立多领域的合作和对话机制,积极参与不稳定因素的治理,提升中国对“一带一路”共建国家的投资安全水平。

Abstract

Under the current international situation,the investment coverage to countries along the “Belt and Road” of China continues to expand,the amount increase,the structure of industry continues to optimize. At the same time,the safety of its investment is still affected by many factors,including economic,financial,political,social and safety of relations with China. Based on the basis and practical experience,our study constructs an investment safety evaluation model with five first-level indicators and 38 second-level indicators,and takes the “Investment Safety Index” as a comprehensive reference to measure the safety of Chinese enterprises’ investment in countries along the “Belt and Road”. Overall,the Investment Safety Index of countries along the “Belt and Road” is still uneven,with the highest in Singapore and the lowest in Yemen. It is suggested that the investment safety level should be adjusted to local conditions,top-level design should be improved,cooperation and dialogue mechanisms in various fields should be established,unstable factors should be actively managed,and the safety level of China’s investment in countries along the “Belt and Road” should be improved.

作者简介
余金艳:余金艳,北京第二外国语学院国家“一带一路”数据分析与决策支持北京市重点实验室学术秘书,博士。
梁昊光:梁昊光,教授,博士生导师,北京第二外国语学院国家“一带一路”数据分析与决策支持北京市重点实验室主任,北京市首都发展研究院院长。