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2020年先进制造业发展趋势及投资展望

文章摘要

近年来,受经济周期回落以及贸易摩擦影响,全球制造业景气度明显回落。2019年以来,我国制造业受周期回落和贸易摩擦冲击影响,面临较大的下行压力,但制造业表现出了较强的韧性,尤其是先进制造业。整体来看,智能升级实现制造业的转型升级正在深化。展望2020年,中国的制造业投资下行的压力依然较大。然而,随着宏观经济及相关产业政策的调整,中国制造业未来将朝着行业集中度快速提升、产业外迁阶段性加速、科技创新和数字化转型驱动制造业的方向发展。

Abstract

In recent years,affected by the economic cycle and trade friction,the global manufacturing boom has dropped significantly. Since 2019,China’s manufacturing industry has been under great downward pressure due to the impact of cycle decline and trade friction,but the manufacturing industry has shown strong resilience,especially the advanced manufacturing industry. On the whole,the transformation and upgrading of manufacturing industry through intelligent upgrading is deepening. Looking forward to 2020,the downward pressure on China’s manufacturing investment is still large. However,with the adjustment of macro-economy and related industrial policies,China’s manufacturing industry will develop in the future in the direction of rapid industrial concentration,phased acceleration of industrial relocation,technological innovation and digital transformation.

作者简介
万建发:万建发,中国建投投资研究院秘书长
朱培:朱培,中国建投投资研究院研究员