受突尼斯“茉莉花革命”影响,“一·二五”革命推翻了执政30年之久的穆巴拉克政权。之后,埃及经历了短暂的过渡期、穆尔西民选政权时期,并迅速进入了塞西政府时代。穆尔西民选政权的迅速失败与军方代表塞西连任总统,反映了埃及民主转型之困局。军队在埃及政治中的主导作用,以及军方、伊斯兰主义政党与自由世俗派政党之间的力量博弈与关系互动构成了后穆巴拉克时代埃及政治进程戏剧化变化的核心动力,可以解释埃及民主转型的短暂成功、迅速失败以及强人政治的复归。后穆巴拉克时代的政治进程说明,埃及民主进程还面临诸多挑战。
Influenced by the Tunisian Jasmine Revolution,the January 25th revolution overthrew the Mubarak regime,which had been in power for 30 years. After that,Egypt experienced a short transition period,the period of the Morsi,and quickly entered the era of the Sisi government. The rapid failure of the Morsi regime and the re-election of President Sisi on behalf of the military reflect the dilemma of democratic transformation in Egypt. The leading role of the military in Egyptian politics,the power game and relationship between the military,Islamist parties and free secular parties constitute the core driving force for the dramatic changes in the Egyptian political process in the post-Mubarak era,which can explain the short-term success and rapid failure of the democratic transition in Egypt and the reintegration of strongman politics. The political process in the post-Mubarak era shows that the Egyptian democratic process still faces many challenges.