自上海自贸试验区作为国内第一个自贸试验区试点建设以后，我国先后经历了三批共11个自贸试验区的试点，已初步形成了自贸试验区建设的网络体系，自贸试验区在外商投资制度改革、金融制度创新、货物监管制度改革和贸易便利化、政府职能改革和营商环境改善方面取得了明显的成效，并推出了一系列在国内可复制推广的制度创新措施，这些自贸试验区探索的经验对海南自贸试验区建设具有重要借鉴意义。不过，从对标国际高水平自贸区协定和实现我国国家治理的现代化、法治化先行区的视角看，我国自贸试验区建设尚存在较大差距，总体表现为开放程度、系统集成、改革力度等方面，离成为国际最高标准的自贸试验区还有较大差距。同时，为定量评估自贸试验区建设的经济效应，本报告采用合成控制法，运用合成反事实方法对国内自贸试验区的政策效应进行实证分析。结论表明：自贸试验区建设总体上产生了显著的经济外溢效应，从第一批和第二批4个自贸试验区经济效应比较看，自贸试验区成立对广东的工业产品销售收入以及利润率有正向影响，但在对外贸易和开放方面没有显著效果；天津的情况与广东相反；自贸试验区成立对福建的经济增长和进出口额有正向效果，但是效果不是很大；从区域辐射效应看，上海自贸试验区对长三角区域的经济辐射效应明显大于天津自贸试验区对京津冀的区域辐射效应。
Since the Shanghai Pilot Free Trade Zone was established as the first pilot project，there are now 11 pilot free trade zones in China，and a network construction system for pilot free trade zones has been initially formed. These free trade zones have achieved significant results in fields of foreign investment regulatory reform，financial system innovation，trade in goods regulatory reform and trade facilitation，governmental reform and business environment improvement，and they have launched a series of innovative measures that can be replicated and promoted in other regions of China. The experience of exploring these pilot free trade zones has significant implications as a reference for the construction of the Hainan Pilot Free Trade Zone. However，from the perspective of conforming to international high-level free trade agreements，modernizing capacity of public governance and realizing the rule of law，there are still big gaps in the construction of China’s free trade pilot zones. Insufficient openness，lack of systematic integration and insufficient reform motivation make these zones lag behind pilot free trade zones of the highest international standards. In order to quantitatively evaluate the economic effects of the construction of the Pilot Free Trade Zone，this report employs the synthetic control method and the counter-factual method to analyze the policy effects of domestic pilot free trade zones. The conclusions show that the construction of pilot free trade zones has produced significant economic spillover effects. By comparing the economic effects displayed by four pilot free trade zones of the first batch and the second batch，it can be shown that pilot free trade zones have had positive effects on the sales revenue of industrial products and profits rates in Guangdong，but they have not had significant effects on foreign trade and opening-up；the situation in Tianjin is opposite to that of Guangdong；meanwhile，the establishment of a pilot free trade zone has had a slightly positive effect on Fujian’s economic growth and its import-export volume. From the perspective of regional radial effects，the radial economic effects of the Shanghai Pilot Free Trade Zone on the Yangtze River Delta region have been significantly greater than the regional radial effects of the Tianjin Pilot Free Trade Zone on BeiJing-Tianjin-Hebei Region.
