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中国经济增长的中期趋势和应对策略

文章摘要

从中期看,我国经济发展仍处于战略机遇期,保持经济较快增长的有利条件和积极因素较多,但面临的挑战形势更加严峻,特别是受需求和供给两方面因素的影响,经济增速将趋于回落;经济增长正在发生阶段性变化,对中期稳增长提出了新的挑战;应对策略是培育经济增长的新动力,核心是要以提高经济增长质量和效益为中心,把稳增长、调结构、促改革结合起来,推动经济转型,把改革红利、内需潜力、创新活力叠加起来,形成新动力,并且使质量和效益、就业和收入、环境保护和资源节约有新提升,打造中国经济的升级版。

Abstract

From the medium-term perspective,the economic growth in China is still at a stage with strategic opportunities. Many existing favorable conditions as well as positive factors are beneficial to retain a relatively fast growth rate. However,the challenges we face are graver than before. Due to the influence of both supply and demand,the economic growth rate is inclined to decrease. The periodic changes have raised new challenges for the medium-term steady growth objective. The coping strategy is to cultivate new driving forces for economic growth,of which the core is to center on improving the quality and efficiency of economic growth,combine steadying growth,adjusting structure and promoting reform together so as to give impetus to the economic transition. The superposition of reform dividends,potential of domestic demand and innovation vigor will form the new power of economic growth. The improvement of quality and efficiency,employment and income,environmental protection and resource conservation will lead to an upgraded version of Chinese economy.

作者简介
王一鸣:王一鸣系国家发改委宏观经济研究院常务副院长。研究员,博士生导师,国务院政府特殊津贴专家。