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热词推荐: 基础设施能源

马来西亚经济形势(2017~2018)

文章摘要

2017年,马来西亚经济整体向好,国内需求旺盛,出口强劲,实现GDP增长5.9%。货币政策立场温和,央行较为审慎,通货膨胀率较低,汇率富有弹性,金融周期大幅下滑的风险较低。财政政策向逐步加强抵御风险的方向迈进,财政赤字与中央政府债务进一步得到控制。2018年,马来西亚经济稳健、持续增长,服务业与制造业依然是增长的主要动力,但整体经济增长势头放缓。总体而言,尽管面临一系列挑战,马来西亚正在通过结构改革,提升劳动力技能,提高生产力,改善基础设施和推动研究与开发,以期在不远的未来跳出“中等收入陷阱”,成为高收入国家。

Abstract

In 2017,Malaysia achieved impressive overall economic growth,at annual rate of 5.9%,with strong domestic demand,exports,low inflation and flexible exchange rate. The monetary policy was moderate and the risk of a sharp decline in the financial cycle was reasonably low. During this year,Malaysia’s fiscal policy was oriented around risk control while fiscal deficit and central government debt were further contained. In the year of 2018,driven by robust growth in service and manufacturing sectors,Malaysia continued with its growth momentum despite of some degree of moderation. Overall,Malaysia is making meaningful efforts to improve productivity by enhancing infrastructure,human capital and R&D. Through a series of structural reforms,Malaysia is on its path towards breaking free from the “middle income trap” in the near future.

作者简介
孔涛:孔涛,经济学博士,北京大学中国社会科学调查中心副研究员,主要研究方向为发展经济学、劳动经济学、经济增长与制度变迁。