2016~2017年,匈牙利内政局势总体稳定,政治生态继续表现出青民盟一党独大、左翼反对党散弱、极右势力蓄力扩张的势头。各政党围绕2018年国会选举进行的准备和角力已经开始。2016年匈牙利经济增速略有回落。政府在充分利用欧盟发展资金的同时,进行了以扩大内需为目标的结构性改革。随着国际政治、经济和军事力量的中心由跨大西洋地区逐步向太平洋地区转移,为应对全球性的挑战,匈牙利积极调整其外交与安全政策,以保障其国家利益。难民危机爆发后,匈牙利民族意识加强。匈牙利人口减少和年轻人才外流成为严重的社会问题。中方“一带一路”倡议和匈方“向东开放”战略相向而行;经贸投资往来在“16+1”合作框架下取得突破,金融领域合作亮点频现;人文交流日益密切,成果丰硕。
Between 2016 and 2017,in the context of overall political stability,the Hungarian political landscape saw the continued dominance of the governing Hungarian Civic Alliance(FIDESZ),the weakening and fragmentation of left-wing parties,and the aspiration of right wing party(Jobbik)to become the strongest challenger of Fidesz by moderating its former radical rhetoric. The political parties are beginning to prepare and compete for the 2018 election of the Hungarian National Assembly. Since the growth rate of the Hungarian economy slowed down in 2016,the Hungarian government instituted reforms that aim at expanding domestic consumption while taking advantage of the European Union funds. As the political,economic and military center of gravity shifts from the Atlantic to the Pacific,Hungary has been actively adjusting its foreign and security policy to cope with global challenges and to promote its national interests. After the outbreak of the refugee crisis,there has been a strengthening of the Hungarian national self-awareness. The reduction in population and the brain drain of young people become serious social problems for Hungary. But Hungary has made impressive progress in its cooperation with China as there is strategic convergence between the Chinese the Belt and Road Initiative and the Hungarian Eastern Opening policy,breakthroughs in bilateral trade and investment are made under the 16+1 framework,and bright spots continue to emerge in financial cooperation,and finally the people-to-people exchanges bear fruit.
Keywords: | Population ChangeEconomic GrowthHungarian Partisan PoliticsStrategic of Focus in Foreign PolicySino-Hungarian Relations |