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热词推荐: 能源基础设施

全球能源转型与文明间竞争(2022~2023)

文章摘要

2022年以来,全球化石能源产销量均在增加,核电产业复苏且第三代核电技术成为全球主流。全球更加致力于从化石燃料向可再生清洁能源转变,以实现能源安全和气候安全目标。俄乌冲突以来,包括欧盟在内的欧洲国际组织和国家积极推动摆脱对俄罗斯的能源依赖,加快可再生能源部署和相关投资的呼声在欧洲提高但进展不顺。亚洲能源市场以石油减产和清洁能源快速增长为主要特征。中国和中东在亚洲地区可再生能源投资方面表现亮眼,中国新能源汽车在全球快速崛起并引发欧盟的担忧。美洲原油和天然气产能均有所增长,美国和巴西是该地区可再生能源投资大国。非洲主要产油国喜忧参半,主要围绕化石能源而进行政治博弈,在可再生能源转型方面发展较为缓慢。世界正在走向能源转型,但受到能源政治和文明竞争的影响,这一过程依然具有不确定性和复杂性。

Abstract

Since 2022,the global production and sales of fossil energy have been increasing,the nuclear power industry has recovered,and third-generation nuclear power technology has become the global mainstream. The world is more committed to the transformation from fossil fuels to renewable clean energy in order to achieve the goals of energy security and climate security. Since the Russia-Ukraine conflict,European international organizations and countries,including the European Union,have actively promoted getting rid of energy dependence on Russia,and the call for increasing renewable energy deployment and related investment has increased in Europe,but the progress is not smooth. The decline in oil production and the rapid development of clean energy are the main features of the Asian energy market. China and the Middle East have performed brilliantly in renewable energy investment in Asia,and China’s new energy vehicles have risen rapidly in the world and caused concern in Europe. Crude oil and natural gas production capacity has increased in the Americas,and the United States and Brazil are major renewable energy investors in the region. Africa’s major oil producing countries as a whole mixed,mainly focusing on the energy political game of fossil energy,and the development of renewable energy transformation is relatively slow. The world is moving towards an energy transition,but the process remains uncertain and complex,influenced by energy politics and civilized competition.

作者简介
薛力:薛力,中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所研究员,博士生导师,主要研究领域为国际战略与中国外交。
李少康:李少康,中国社会科学院大学国际政治经济学院博士研究生。